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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 13th, 2023

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  • I’m not sure what your point is? Assad wasn’t really stopping that, given that it seems turkey backed some militias that were able to mop him up in like a week with a surprise offensive.

    Turkey has already been waging war against rojava for years now, and has been perpetrating a genocide against the kurds more broadly for decades. Their situation has always been dire, but its not over for them.



  • I don’t see how this specifically spells more unsettledness. There are already lots of extremists in power in the middle east. Syria has been in civil war for over 10 years and state forces have barely been holding on to the point where a sudden offensive was able to completely topple the regime in a week, it was already unstable and Assad had already failed as a stabilizing force, on top of being a butcher himself.

    I’m not super optimistic about it, but the peoples of Syria do have an opportunity to build themselves more responsive governance and a better future, and I hope they will be able to make it work.



  • Short answer: yes, maybe not $30/dozen and maybe not instantly but probably quickly.

    Mechanized farming requires mechanized parts and transportation, even if domestic supply lines exist, the global market supply contributes to price. If that global market is heavily resricted through tariffs, price increases will propagate throughout the system.

    The sudden and massive tariffs like trump has suggested (60% on all chinese goods, and 10% on all import goods) could be enough to spur a general global economic collapse. That is a huge amount of extra friction on a system tuned to extract maximum profit rather than be resilient, and we saw with the covid supply shocks how a string of comparatively local and sporadic events were able to wreck havoc.