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Cake day: February 18th, 2024

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  • I can’t comment on “space fantasy” specifically, but I like when fantasy builds complex science and engineering on top of their magic. The magic in something like the Stormlight Archive is compelling in its own right, but it’s massively enhanced by seeing how the ancient civilizations leveraged it to build advanced societies, and how they invent new things using the lower level tools over the course of the story.




  • The thing with that is that it’s actually a useful generalization to make in a lot of scenarios.

    If you know nothing about the distinction between two possible outcomes, treating them as equally likely is a helpful tool to continue with the back of the envelope guess. Knowing this path needs 5 coin tosses to go right and this one needs 10 is helpful to approximate which is better.

    Your example is obviously outside the realm where you have zero information, so uniform distribution is no longer the reasonable default. But the idea is from a reasonable technique, taken to extremes by someone who doesn’t fully get it.